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2024 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. The Biden Administration and the Copernican Turn

verfasst von : Dirk Ehnts

Erschienen in: Modern Money Theory

Verlag: Springer Nature Switzerland

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Abstract

The pandemic has led the US government to increase government spending drastically. Due to lockdowns, tax revenues decreased, so that the 2020 public fiscal deficit tripled from $1 to $3 trillion. While this may sound like a scary number, the US government cannot run out of money, given the setup of its institutions. The “public debt” is just the amount of dollars that the federal government spent into the economy and did not receive back as taxes yet. This means that we have to rethink economics and economic policymaking. While there are political constraints in place to constrain government spending, there are no technical constraints. The public deficit and the interest rate by the Fed are less important than we thought, government spending is what mostly drives the US economy. Banks, like SVB, play a role as well, financing private investment.

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Fußnoten
5
See Ehnts and Paetz (2021) for the details of the Eurozone's response to the pandemic and Ehnts (2017) for a description of the Eurozone from a MMT perspective.
 
7
See Clarida et al. (2021, 4).
 
8
Only in fall 2021 there was a debate on debt sustainability in the context of the debt ceiling. One idea was to mint a trillion-dollar coin to avoid the debt ceiling: See https://​www.​washingtonpost.​com/​business/​2021/​10/​05/​trillion-dollar-coin-faq/​.
 
9
This is not an endorsement of Bidenomics, which could and should have gone much beyond a change in macroeconomic management. However, it was a good choice not to listen to Larry Summers and others who called for higher unemployment to reduce inflation. That would have been the wrong strategy.
 
13
See Kelton (2020).
 
14
“The taxpayer” is often thought to be white and male, so it is a somewhat racist framing. See https://​www.​motherjones.​com/​politics/​2021/​04/​taxpayer-dollars-the-origins-of-austeritys-racist-catchphrase/​.
 
15
Explained below (see Wray 2012).
 
16
The NY Times ran a nice article on money printing in early 2023, nicely visualizing the process: https://​www.​nytimes.​com/​interactive/​2023/​02/​26/​us/​printing-money-treasury.​html.
 
17
Acceptance of the currency is what matters. That acceptance can be lost. More on this later.
 
21
In the Eurozone, national governments spend first and then bring their account's balance back to zero or positive.
 
25
That does not mean that there are no political rules that constrain government spending elsewhere. Europe and the Eurozone have lots of debt brakes and fiscal frameworks that do so.
 
26
If you think that this is an obvious way to start, let me say that this is not what economists think. Their macroeconomic modeling mostly starts with assumptions about behavior and everything else follows.
 
27
This is a translation of a blog post published in German at https://​www.​dirk-ehnts.​de/​l/​svb-uber-geldpolitik-und-bankenbeben/​. The English translation will be published in the International Journal for Pluralism and Economics Education (IJPEE). I would like to thank Jack Reardon for help with the editing.
 
28
Banks use CHIPS, a private clearing system, to minimize the use of the payment system. See https://​www.​theclearinghouse​.​org/​payment-systems/​chips.
 
29
If possible, firms can raise prices so that the returns from an investment project increase in line with interest rates.
 
30
Blanchard, O. A. Domash, and L. H. Summers (2022), Bad news for the Fed from the Beveridge space (July 13, 2022). Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Brief 22–7, https://​doi.​org/​10.​2139/​ssrn.​4174601.
 
31
Aliber, R Z., Kindleberger, C.P, and R. N. McCauley (2023), Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises, Springer, Cham.
 
32
Gerstein, T. (2023) “Are We Actually Arguing About Whether 14-Year-Olds Should Work in Meatpacking Plants?” New York Times, March 27, Opinion | Are We Actually Arguing About Whether 14-Year-Olds Should Work in Meatpacking Plants? Accessed June 26, 2023.
 
Metadaten
Titel
The Biden Administration and the Copernican Turn
verfasst von
Dirk Ehnts
Copyright-Jahr
2024
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-53537-6_2